Fund Management Equity Index 2018

James Yardley 04/03/2018 in Best performing funds, Equities

Our annual Fund Management Equity Index is designed to help investors identify those asset management companies that have consistently strong stock-picking fund managers, who are able to repeat their excellence year in, year out.

Morgan Stanley straight in at number one

Morgan Stanley is a newcomer to the index and has entered straight in at the top. In previous years, its qualifying funds have been too few in number, but now that a few more funds have gained a five-year track record, their outperformance is clear to see. Its average fund returned 46.5% more than its peers over the five years to 31 December 2017*.

River and Mercantile, which was in the top spot last year, was pipped to the post and came in second. Its consistency was still impressive however: its average fund outperformed its peers by 37% over the period.

Indeed, consistency is a key highlight and one not to be sniffed at: eight out of last year’s top ten groups maintained their high standards of performance and retained their Elite Provider status this year. Even more impressive is the fact that five of these companies have been in the top ten in each of the past four annual surveys – a period of time spanning nine years of performance figures.

Particularly striking is the performance of a number of larger groups: 9 out of the top 20 companies have 10 or more funds and three of the top ten largest companies have been in the table each year since our survey began. Baillie Gifford, for example, which is in third place this year, has 15 eligible funds. 84.6% of these funds outperformed by an average 17% back in 2015. Today 93% have outperformed by an average 36.6%. That level of consistency and improvement is not to be sneezed at.

 

Top ten fund groups 2018

Rank 2018Rank 2017Fund group5yr ave. outperformance (%)% of funds outperformingNo. of funds
1New entryMorgan Stanley46.4683.336
21River & Mercantile37.001005
34Baillie Gifford36.6093.3315
418Hermes30.7183.336
53Unicorn30.031004
67Man GLG27.09754
75Old Mutual27.0256.5223
89T. Rowe Price26.0592.3113
910Marlborough24.8962.58
106SVM21.431005

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The index demonstrates that:

1. Consistently good active management is not a myth

What this survey shows with great clarity is that consistent outperformance of active fund managers is not a myth. Eight out of last year’s best ten groups remain at the top and even more impressively, five of these companies have been in the top ten in each of the past four annual surveys. This means that their funds have been outperforming for nine full years. That level of consistency is far from being down to good luck – it is skill.

2. Fund research is crucial

The index also demonstrates the huge difference in performance between the best and worst groups. The average fund’s outperformance from the top group, Morgan Stanley, was 67% higher than the average fund’s results from the bottom group. Although at the bottom, however, 12% of Aberdeen’s funds still outperformed – there are good funds still to be found. This proves that good fund research is key to maximising the potential of your investment portfolio.

3. Big can mean better

The index also highlights that it’s not just boutique firms that can do consistently well – big companies can too. This consistency, over such large numbers of funds, suggests a high degree of skill among these firm’s fund management teams.

Fund group highlights

There were six newcomers to the table this year, with Morgan Stanley being the standout, coming straight in at number one. Robeco debuted at number 34, Standard Chartered at 48, Majedie at 57, Mirabaud at 63 and FP Octopus at 70.

The biggest climbers this year (excluding Morgan Stanley) were Kames (+22), UBS (+21), Smith & Williamson (+18), JP Morgan (+14) and Hermes (+14).

Five fund groups had every qualifying fund outperform over the past five years: Capital Group, Premier Asset Management, River & Mercantile, SVM and Unicorn.

The biggest fallers were Davy (-36), Barclays (-31), EdenTree (-23), Stewart Investors (-21) and Waverton (-17). Stewart Investors was in the top ten in terms of risk-adjusted performance, however, indicating that they perform well whilst exhibiting lower volatility. And, while their margin of outperformance has fallen, more than 90% of their funds have still done better than the average in their sector.

Top five equity fund groups

We take a look at the top five fund houses in a bit more detail. Percentage figures show the average fund’s five year outperformance for each fund group.

Morgan Stanley – 46.46% average outperformance

Morgan Stanley have come from nowhere to number one this year, thanks to a number of their equity funds accumulating five-year track records. Two funds in particular (out of six that qualified for the survey) were standout performers: Morgan Stanley Global Opportunity was the second best performing fund overall, while Morgan Stanley US Growth was also in the top 20 at number 16 (see table below).

River and Mercantile – 37% average outperformance

River and Mercantile was knocked off the number one spot this year, but is still showing excellent outperformance. It is a small boutique asset manager that mainly focuses on UK equities. The company is also top in terms of risk-adjusted performance.

Baillie Gifford – 36.6% average outperformance

Baillie Gifford is the largest group in the top five, posting another strong year of outperformance and climbing a place higher. Outperformance was led by the highly regarded Elite Rated Baillie Gifford Global Discovery fund, while Baillie Gifford Japanese Smaller Companies fund was also in the top 20 table for individual funds.

Hermes – 30.71% average outperformance

Hermes was one of the highest climbers this year, rising from eighteenth place in the 2017 survey to fourth this year. Elite Rated Hermes Asia ex Japan Equity led the charge, being the seventh best performing fund overall.

Unicorn – 30.03% outperformance

Although pushed down into fifth place this year, boutique small-cap specialist Unicorn has been in the top five since this survey began, maintaining an extra-ordinary high level of outperformance across its funds. It is also in second spot in terms of risk-adjusted performance.

Top 20 funds over five years

When it comes to individual fund outperformance over the period, it was a mixed bag overall, but Old Mutual stood out, with four of its UK equity funds in the top 20.

RankFund5 yr performance (%)Sector average performance (%)Outperformance (%)
1Legg Mason IF Japan Equity333.4113.01220.39
2Morgan Stanley Global Opportunity227.3788.28139.09
3Old Mutual UK Smaller Companies Focus226.57112.96113.61
4Old Mutual UK Dynamic Equity172.8468.27104.57
5Old Mutual Equity 1166.8468.27104.57
6Old Mutual UK Mid Cap162.8068.2798.57
7Hermes Asia ex Japan Equity161.9768.2794.53
8Fundsmith Equity179.5069.7392.24
9Baillie Gifford Global Discovery178.1788.2889.89
10Fidelity Global Technology220.98139.3781.01
11CFP SDL UK Buffetology148.6368.2780.36
12Lindsell Train Global Equity168.3588.2880.07
13Old Mutual Global Equity166.6788.2878.39
14MFM Bowland145.7568.2777.45
15Baillie Gifford Japanese Smaller Companies248.33177.6570.68
16Morgan Stanley US Growth196.54129.5267.02
17T. Rowe Price Global Focused Growth Equity154.7188.2866.43
18Barclays UK Lower Cap134.5668.2766.29
19R&M UK Equity Smaller Companies178.95112.9665.99
20Janus Henderson Global Equity153.0688.2864.78

The Fund Management Equity Index also looks at fund group performance against the funds’ sector average Sharpe ratio to see which companies are achieving the best risk-adjusted returns.

RankFund Group% of funds outperforming on a risk-adjusted basis (%)No. of funds
1River & Mercantile1005
2Unicorn1004
3SVM1005
4Premier1007
5Stewart Investors10011
6T. Rowe Price92.3113
7Aviva Investors87.508
8Baillie Gifford86.6715
9Hermes83.336
10Morgan Stanley80.006

How do the risk-adjusted results differ?

Five groups had 100% of their funds outperform over the past five years on a risk-adjusted basis: Premier, River and Mercantile, Stewart Investors, SVM and Unicorn.

Of the larger groups (with ten or more qualifying funds), Artemis, Baillie Gifford, Investec, JOHCM, Stewart Investors and T. Rowe Price all delivered risk-adjusted returns in more than 75% of their funds.

It is worth highlighting that Stewart Investors’ investment style is generally less risky than that of other funds investing in the region and the team tends to underperform in strongly rising markets (which we experienced in 2017) and outperform in falling markets. This makes their risk-adjusted performance very strong. In the main table, while their margin of outperformance has fallen (12%), the number of funds doing better than the sector average remains high (90%).

Why look at risk-adjusted returns?

We believe that risk-adjusted performance is important because, if fund managers are taking more risk, you would want them to achieve a higher return. If funds are taking more risk but only delivering average returns they may be funds investors wish to avoid.

Something else to bear in mind is that funds with higher risk levels will probably underperform during times of crisis while funds that are less risky may do better in times of crisis.

FundCalibre’s Fund Management Equity Index looks at all actively-managed equity funds recognised by the Investment Association and compares them with their sector averages over a five year time frame*.

Each fund group’s funds are then collected together to calculate the group’s average fund performance. Fund groups must have a minimum of four qualifying funds to be included in the index.

Funds excluded from the index**

  • Passive funds
  • All non-equity funds
  • Multi-manager funds
  • Institutional funds
  • Charity funds
  • Funds with a track record of less than five years
  • Funds not in an Investment Association (IA) sector
  • Fund houses with fewer than four qualifying funds
  • Some specialist funds in the IA Specialist sector which are difficult or impossible to compare including energy and agriculture funds

Steps to creating the index

  • We created a list of qualifying funds (see exclusion list above)
  • We measured every qualifying fund’s over or underperformance after fees against its respective IA sector average over the past five years. (We use main units as defined by FE Analytics). For some specialist funds we created our own sub-sector or measured against an appropriate benchmark. IA Unclassified equity funds are also compared against an appropriate benchmark or peer group
  • We collected each asset manager’s funds together
  • We worked out each asset managers average fund’s over or underperformance
  • We calculated what percentage of each group’s funds outperformed
  • We calculated what percentage of each group’s funds beat the average fund’s Sharpe ratio in each sector
  • Some decisions taken in the production of this index are inevitably subjective and are based on FundCalibre’s own opinion. Every effort is taken to be as fair and accurate as possible. All data is sourced from FE Analytics

Breaking down asset managers into fund groups

Where appropriate, we have broken down fund houses into different fund groups. Some asset managers operate independently, but remain part of a wider group. For example, AXA Framlington and AXA Rosenberg are presented separately.

Risk-adjusted measures of performance

Although our main index looks at sector outperformance, we also wanted to assess groups on a risk-adjusted basis. We looked at various methods of doing this. By far the most consistent and fair metric, in our view, was the Sharpe ratio. The Sharpe Ratio is one of the most recognised risk-adjusted performance measures in the industry.

We concluded that looking at fund houses’ mean (average) Sharpe ratios on an absolute basis was unfair. This is because some sectors have much higher Sharpe ratios than others. Therefore a fund house with lots of funds in one sector with a high Sharpe ratio would be more likely to rank highly on our index.

In our view a fund group can only provide the best risk-adjusted returns for the part of the market they sit in. Therefore, a much fairer measure was to consider each fund’s Sharpe ratio versus the mean Sharpe ratio in its Investment Association Sector.

Sharpe ratio in more detail

(annualised return – risk-free rate)/annual standard deviation. The annual return was compiled using five-year daily data from FE Analytics. The annual standard deviation data was compiled using five-year weekly data from FE Analytics. The risk-free rate was taken to be the shortest-dated government bond. Since this is primarily an index of UK funds, we decided that the 1-month UK T-Bill was most appropriate. The annual return of the risk-free rate was therefore calculated as 0.28%, from data provided by FE Analytics.

Weaknesses of the index

The index does not account for survivorship bias. Funds that have been closed down or that have been merged with other funds are not included in these results. However, a list of those funds which have been closed or merged are below for information.

Funds closed, merged or no longer recognised by the IA since the 2017 index:

Baillie Gifford Long-Term Global Growth, Old Mutual Equity 2, GS Core European Partners, Fidelity Moneybuilder Global, Threadneedle European (ex UK) Growth, Threadneedle Japan Growth, Threadneedle Pacific (ex Japan) Growth, Threadneedle UK Growth, JP Morgan Turkey, JP Morgan Blue Chip Equity, Royal London UK Ethical Equity, JGF-Jupiter North American Equities, Baring Emerging Markets, Baring Global Growth, Baring UK Growth, Baring MENA, GAM Star European Growth & Value, Allianz Oriental Income, Allianz UK Unconstrained, Legg Mason Martin Currie Global Alpha, HSBC GIF Brazil, HSBC GIF BRIC markets, HSBC GIF Chinese, HSBC Euroland Equity and Aberdeen UK Enhanced Equity.

 

*All data used to compile the Fund Management Equity Index is taken from Financial Express Analytics. All cumulative statistics % change bid to bid, net income reinvested, five years to 31/12/2017.

**Please note FundCalibre has included or excluded funds in very few cases at its discretion, based on what it believes will provide the fairest comparison of each fund group’s performance over the time period. These funds are listed above, under ‘Weaknesses of the index’ sub-heading.

These are purely statistical charts. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of this information, FundCalibre takes no responsibility for any errors, omissions or inaccuracies therein.

Please note the Fund Management Equity Index does not constitute investment advice. If you are in any doubt as to the suitability of any investment you should seek professional advice. An appearance of any fund on this index is not an indication it should be bought, sold or switched

This article is provided for information only. The views of the author and any people quoted are their own and do not constitute financial advice. The content is not intended to be a personal recommendation to buy or sell any fund or trust, or to adopt a particular investment strategy. However, the knowledge that professional analysts have analysed a fund or trust in depth before assigning them a rating can be a valuable additional filter for anyone looking to make their own decisions.Past performance is not a reliable guide to future returns. Market and exchange-rate movements may cause the value of investments to go down as well as up. Yields will fluctuate and so income from investments is variable and not guaranteed. You may not get back the amount originally invested. Tax treatment depends of your individual circumstances and may be subject to change in the future. If you are unsure about the suitability of any investment you should seek professional advice.Whilst FundCalibre provides product information, guidance and fund research we cannot know which of these products or funds, if any, are suitable for your particular circumstances and must leave that judgement to you. Before you make any investment decision, make sure you’re comfortable and fully understand the risks. Further information can be found on Elite Rated funds by simply clicking on the name highlighted in the article.